Canadian Natural Resources Limited Announces 2024 First Quarter Results

MAY 2, 2024

Canadian Natural’s President, Scott Stauth, commented on the Company’s first quarter results, “Canadian Natural is a world class company and during our 35 years of operations, we’ve delivered significant value, including recently reaching a position where, commencing in 2024, we are returning 100% of our free cash flow to our shareholders. Crude oil price forecasts have strengthened for the remainder of 2024, including improvements in West Texas Intermediate (“WTI”), Western Canadian Select (“WCS”) and Synthetic Crude Oil (“SCO”) pricing over those prices experienced in the first quarter of 2024, driving significant targeted free cash flow generation going forward.

Canadian Natural’s large, unique and diversified asset base provides a key competitive advantage enabling us to effectively allocate capital across our asset base and manage the pace and timing of development activities, maximizing value for our shareholders. We are executing on our 2024 plan which is strategically weighted to longer cycle thermal development projects in the first half of the year and shorter cycle growth projects in the second half of the year, which aligns with increased market egress and improved forward strip crude oil pricing. As a result, we target to finish the year with strong exit rates as conventional activity ramps up in the second half of the year.

In Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading, at the Horizon site, we are well prepared for 2024 turnaround activity and final tie ins of the reliability enhancement project in the second quarter of the year, which will be followed by targeted strong production in the second half of the year with high upgrader utilization. Through optimization efforts and early turnaround work done in early 2024, we have reduced the Horizon turnaround to 28 days from 30 days and improved the commissioning schedule for the reliability enhancement project. These optimizations will advance and shorten commissioning timing after the turnaround to support high targeted utilization and production rates in the second half of the year.

We have a defined path to reduce our environmental footprint and continue delivering sustainable, responsibly produced energy that the world needs. We are committed to supporting Canada’s and Alberta’s climate goals and have robust environmental targets, including net zero greenhouse gas (“GHG”) emissions for the oil sands by 2050. We are uniquely positioned with diverse, long life low decline assets, which are ideal for applying GHG reduction technologies and providing industry leading environmental performance. It is important to continue working together with the Canadian and Alberta governments to make the Pathways Alliance a transformative industry collaboration and achieve meaningful GHG reductions in Canada. We believe Canadian energy is one of the most responsibly produced sources of energy in the world and should be the preferred energy choice.”

Canadian Natural’s Chief Financial Officer, Mark Stainthorpe, also added “In Q1/24, we delivered strong financial results, including adjusted net earnings of approximately $1.5 billion and adjusted funds flow of $3.1 billion, which drove significant returns to shareholders totaling $1.7 billion in the quarter. Commencing in 2024, we are returning 100% of free cash flow to shareholders, as per our free cash flow allocation policy, and continue to manage the allocation on a forward looking annual basis.

At Canadian Natural, our culture of continuous improvement and employee ownership alignment with shareholders drives our teams to create significant value across all areas of the Company. Our effective and efficient operations combined with our flexible capital allocation maximizes value for our shareholders.”

HIGHLIGHTS
		Three Months Ended
		Mar 31		Dec 31		Mar 31
($ millions, except per common share amounts)		2024		2023		2023
Net earnings	$	987	$	2,627	$	1,799
Per common share – basic	$	0.92	$	2.43	$	1.63
– diluted	$	0.91	$	2.41	$	1.62
Adjusted net earnings from operations (1)	$	1,474	$	2,546	$	1,881
Per common share – basic (2)	$	1.38	$	2.36	$	1.71
– diluted (2)	$	1.37	$	2.34	$	1.69
Cash flows from operating activities	$	2,868	$	4,815	$	1,295
Adjusted funds flow (1)	$	3,138	$	4,419	$	3,429
Per common share – basic (2)	$	2.93	$	4.09	$	3.12
– diluted (2)	$	2.91	$	4.05	$	3.08
Cash flows used in investing activities	$	1,392	$	946	$	1,153
Net capital expenditures (3)	$	1,113	$	975	$	1,257
Abandonment expenditures	$	162	$	149	$	137
Daily production, before royalties
Natural gas (MMcf/d)		2,147		2,231		2,139
Crude oil and NGLs (bbl/d)		975,668		1,047,541		962,908
Equivalent production (BOE/d) (4)		1,333,502		1,419,313		1,319,391

 

Non-GAAP Financial Measure. Refer to the “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” section of the Company’s MD&A for the three months ended March 31, 2024 dated May 1, 2024.

Non-GAAP Ratio. Refer to the “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” section of the Company’s MD&A for the three months ended March 31, 2024 dated May 1, 2024.

Non-GAAP Financial Measure. The composition of this measure was updated in the fourth quarter of 2023 and has been updated for all periods presented. Refer to the “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” section of the Company’s MD&A for the three months ended March 31, 2024 dated May 1, 2024.

A barrel of oil equivalent (“BOE”) is derived by converting six thousand cubic feet (“Mcf”) of natural gas to one barrel (“bbl”) of crude oil (6 Mcf:1 bbl). This conversion may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation, or to compare the value ratio using current crude oil and natural gas prices since the 6 Mcf:1 bbl ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.

The strength of Canadian Natural’s long life low decline asset base, supported by safe, effective and efficient operations, makes our business unique, robust and sustainable. In Q1/24, the Company generated strong financial results, including:

Net earnings of approximately $1.0 billion and adjusted net earnings from operations of approximately $1.5 billion.

Cash flows from operating activities of approximately $2.9 billion.

Adjusted funds flow of approximately $3.1 billion.

Canadian Natural continues to maintain a strong balance sheet and financial flexibility, with approximately $6.8 billion in liquidity(1) as at March 31, 2024.

Subsequent to quarter end, the Company repaid US$0.5 billion of 3.8% debt securities due April 15, 2024.

Canadian Natural achieved its $10 billion net debt level at year end 2023 and is returning 100% of free cash flow(1) in 2024 to shareholders, per the Company’s free cash flow allocation policy. The Company will manage the allocation of free cash flow on a forward looking annual basis, while managing working capital and cash management as required.

Non-GAAP Financial Measure. Refer to the “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” section of this press release and the Company’s MD&A for the three months ended March 31, 2024 dated May 1, 2024.

Canadian Natural continues to focus on safe, effective and efficient operations, and delivered quarterly average production in Q1/24 of 1,333,502 BOE/d, consisting of total liquids production of 975,668 bbl/d and natural gas production of 2,147 MMcf/d.

The Company is targeting strong production from its Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading assets in the second half of the year, as we optimize turnaround activity, complete final tie ins and advance commissioning of the reliability enhancement project in Q2/24.

Canadian Natural has significant growth opportunities across its asset base, including sustainable production enhancements at its Oil Sands Mining and Upgrading operations.

Near-term projects include the reliability enhancement project at Horizon, which targets to increase the two-year average SCO capacity by approximately 14,000 bbl/d by extending the turnaround schedule to once every two years. Additionally, the debottlenecking project at the Scotford Upgrader targets to add incremental capacity at the Athabasca Oil Sands Project (“AOSP”) of approximately 5,600 bbl/d net to Canadian Natural.

Medium-term projects include the Naphtha Recovery Unit Tailings Treatment (“NRUTT”) project at Horizon, which targets to add incremental production of approximately 6,300 bbl/d of SCO, reduce GHG emissions and lower reclamation costs.

Long-term projects at our Oil Sands operations include combining In-Pit Extraction Process (“IPEP”) and Paraffinic Froth Treatment (“PFT”) that have the potential to add approximately 195,000 bbl/d of additional annual bitumen production, reduce GHG emissions and lower reclamation costs.

The Company’s 2024 development plan has conventional activity strategically weighted to the second half of 2024 to better align with increased market egress and improved crude oil pricing, maximizing value for our shareholders. Following completion of the Trans Mountain Expansion (“TMX”) pipeline, there will be ample egress and optionality for our crude oil products.

Strong free cash flow generation is targeted in the last nine months of the 2024, given improved crude oil forward strip pricing as of April 30, 2024:

WTI of US$79.95/bbl, an improvement of approximately US$3/bbl from US$76.97/bbl experienced in Q1/24.

SCO at a US$2.47/bbl price premium to WTI, an improvement of approximately US$10/bbl from a US$7.54/bbl discount experienced in Q1/24.

WCS differential strengthening to a discount to WTI of US$13.17/bbl, an improvement of approximately US$6/bbl from the US$19.34/bbl discount experienced in Q1/24.

The Company continues to evaluate and implement opportunities to maximize netbacks through the diversification of sales and optimized blending and transportation options through diverse market access. Canadian Natural has optionality for crude oil exports, including the following pipeline commitments:

In Q1/24, the Company increased its commitment on Flanagan South by 55,000 bbl/d to 77,500 bbl/d, further expanding the Company’s heavy oil diversification and market access to the United States Gulf Coast (“USGC”).

94,000 bbl/d on Trans Mountain Expansion (“TMX”) pipeline that creates additional crude oil market diversification opportunities on the west coast, both by land and by water.

10,000 bbl/d on the Base Keystone Pipeline, with direct access to the USGC.

RETURNS TO SHAREHOLDERS

Canadian Natural has a strong history of growing its sustainable dividend for 24 consecutive years and commencing in 2024, we are now returning 100% of free cash flow to shareholders.

Returns to shareholders in Q1/24 were strong, totaling approximately $1.7 billion, comprised of $1.1 billion of dividends and $0.6 billion through the repurchase and cancellation of approximately 6.7 million common shares at a weighted average price of $90.78 per share.

Year to date in 2024, up to and including May 1, 2024, the Company has returned a total of approximately $3.1 billion directly to shareholders through $2.2 billion in dividends and $0.9 billion through the repurchase and cancellation of approximately 9.6 million common shares.

Subsequent to quarter end, the Company declared a quarterly cash dividend on its common shares of $1.05 (one dollar and five cents) per common share on a pre-stock split basis or $0.525 (fifty-two and one half cents) per common share after the two for one share split of the common shares, subject to shareholder approval at the Company’s Annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders on May 2, 2024. The quarterly dividend will be payable on July 5, 2024 to shareholders of record at the close of business on June 17, 2024.

As previously announced on February 29, 2024, the Board of Directors increased the quarterly dividend by 5% to $1.05 per common share. This demonstrates the confidence that the Board of Directors has in the sustainability of our business model, our strong balance sheet and the strength of our diverse, long life low decline reserves and asset base. The Company’s leading track record of dividend increases continues, with 2024 being the 24th consecutive year of dividend increases with a compound annual growth rate (“CAGR”) of 21% over that time.

On February 28, 2024, Canadian Natural’s Board of Directors approved a resolution to subdivide the Company’s common shares on a two for one basis, subject to shareholder approval at the Company’s Annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders on May 2, 2024. The Company will also be required to obtain all regulatory approvals, including TSX approval.

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